
Football match probabilities

Football match probabilities
VARStats is a football analytics platform that provides statistical probabilities for match outcomes, goals, corners, and cards across more than 115 leagues in 79 countries. The tool calculates probabilities every four hours and presents them alongside bookmaker odds, allowing users to see where the model’s assessment diverges from the market. Each match entry includes a breakdown of eight key questions: which team will win, whether both teams will score, total goals, total corners, total cards, total shots, fouls, and offsides. The platform also tracks the accuracy of its own predictions and offers open accounting of that performance. The service covers a wide range of leagues and includes features such as league leaderboards for goals, corners, and cards, as well as full rankings of teams and matches. Users can view a match of the day with a detailed analysis, compare probabilities with the bookmaker’s implied probabilities (adjusted for margin), and access a three-day premium trial. The probabilities are derived from historical match statistics and are presented as estimates rather than guaranteed predictions, acknowledging the inherent uncertainty of football. Typical use cases include pre-match research for betting or fantasy football, comparative analysis of team form and referee tendencies, and monitoring statistical trends across multiple leagues. The platform is web-based and does not require a dedicated app installation. Payment for premium features is accepted via credit card and cryptocurrency. The application is operated by VARStats Systems and is copyrighted as of 2026.